Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Who are you going to believe, Google or six LLMs trained on every piece of data on the planet?

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Last week, Google published a blog post rebutting claims of declining website traffic from Google Search. 

“Overall, total organic click volume from Google Search to websites has been relatively stable year-over-year,” the post said. “Additionally, average click quality has increased and we’re actually sending slightly more quality clicks to websites than a year ago (by quality clicks, we mean those where users don’t quickly click back — typically a signal that a user is interested in the website).”

It said that reports of declines in aggregate traffic were based on “flawed methodologies, isolated examples or traffic changes that occurred before the rollout of AI features in Search.”

We at MarTech have heard anecdotal reports of declines from website publishers. However, as we all know, “the plural of anecdote is not data.” So we asked Google Gemini, ChatGPT, Perplexity, Claude, Qwen and Deepseek if referrals from Google Search are growing or declining. (We would have asked Microsoft’s Bing Copilot, but we forgot it existed.)

Google Gemini was not impressed by its creator’s claims.

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

ChatGPT gave a qualified, journalistic answer, but put the word “declining” in bold.

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Perplexity’s reply was as straightforward as you can get.

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Claude was more succinct.

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Now those answers are all from bloated, American-style LLMs. What did the lean, Chinese LLMs find?

DeepSeek lived up to its pared-down reputation.

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

Qwen had a similar response, but said it with a nuance that echoed Bill Clinton’s statement, “It depends on what your definition of is is.”

Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree.

So, there you have it. We report, they answer, you decide.

   

The post Google says web traffic isn’t declining. Google Gemini and five other LLMs disagree. appeared first on MarTech.

MarTech

About the author

                  

Staff

Constantine von Hoffman is managing editor of MarTech. A veteran journalist, Con has covered business, finance, marketing and tech for CBSNews.com, Brandweek, CMO, and Inc. He has been city editor of the Boston Herald, news producer at NPR, and has written for Harvard Business Review, Boston Magazine, Sierra, and many other publications. He has also been a professional stand-up comedian, given talks at anime and gaming conventions on everything from My Neighbor Totoro to the history of dice and boardgames, and is author of the magical realist novel John Henry the Revelator. He lives in Boston with his wife, Jennifer, and either too many or too few dogs.

(7)